Aggression in the South China Sea

To be Jedi is to face the truth, and choose. Give off light, or darkness, Padawan. Be a candle, or the night. Yoda

After Truth vs propaganda, where I wrote about Russia, it seems natural to move to China. The narration is that China is an aggressor in the South China Sea, but do we know that?

I started my research in The Diplomat. According to an article by Greg Austin, Professor at the Australian Centre for Cyber Security at the University of New South Wales, Canberra, China is not the problem. He makes a convincing argument that Vietnam is actually more eager to acquire outposts than China. He quoted Assistant Secretary of Defense, David Shear, addressing the Senate Foreign relations Committee in 2015: Vietnam has 48 outposts, the Philippines 8, China 8, Malaysia 5, and Taiwan 1.

I refer to Austin’s article for more information.

Carl Thayer, a Southeast Asia regional specialist, responded to this article and claimed that what China has done could support Chinese expansion in the area. I guess it’s a matter of who and what you choose to believe, and this is where things start to get interesting. The US Defense Secretary, Leon Panetta, stated in 2012 that they were planning to move 60 percent of the the navy fleet to the Asia-Pacific region by 2020. He said this during a regional security meeting in Singapore, according to BBC..

So now we have a situation where the USA are building up their military in the Pacific, but claiming it has nothing to do with China. Three years later the same administration maintain that China is not a problem. The United States now have 400 bases in South Korea, Japan, the Philippines, some former Soviet countries, as well as on some atolls. This happened before the latest development in Syria, which is also in Asia, and North Korea. I have frequently referred to both news and politics as a narration, and I don’t think anything in politics just happens.

The United States and China have one important thing in common, they share the Pacific Ocean, but are they willing to share? The narration tells us that China is an aggressor, which just means they don’t support US politics. What if there is another story, one where China builds bases because they have to defend themselves? As with Russia, I have no illusions of China being a better society than the one I’m living in, but that’s not what we are talking about. I imagine that all former empires dream of restoring what they once had, but I can’t see that China is particularly bad in that respect. Imagine if Russia/China decided to build bases in Cuba, Jamaica, Bahamas and Mexico. Would it be fair to expect the United States to do nothing?

The United States have been very successful if their goal is to make people fear them. They have some friends left, and old enemies are terrified of the enormous fire power the USA and NATO have. It’s not unlike the Galactic Empire and its Death Star in Star Wars. Building more and more nuclear weapons doesn’t make the world safer and it doesn’t exactly fill me with confidence knowing that countries like Pakistan, India and Israel have the ability to nuke their enemies, which tend to be their neighbours. I wonder if there is a way out of this for Trump. After the statements President Trump, Vice President Pence and Secretary of State Tillerson have made concerning Syria (which includes Russia) and North Korea (which borders China and Russia), it would be strange if nothing happened. Would they be satisfied with that?

Norway and Norwegians have had a long love affair with America. I live in an area of Norway that some find a little disturbing because it’s almost like the America Trump wants to make great again. There are areas in this region, outside the towns, that are very Midwestern, and if you want to look for people loyal to the USA this would be a good place to start. This is not surprising as nearly a million people from this small country became Americans during a hundred year period.

I don’t know where it comes from, but I suspect that our expression going west (meaning doom) comes from the time when many fishermen died at sea. From mid 19th century west, as in America, was also hope and life. It was freedom. I have to say, it saddens me to see that America implants fear in people. To some people that is a good thing, and I agree if it helps stop evil, but what if it also stops a development that wouldn’t be that bad? What if we are getting used to the idea that the country that used to be a safe haven is now the opposite? What if we have become the Galactic Empire? I know that weapons and a balance between the powers is necessary, but I am not sure that what we are seeing today is necessary. Incidentally, you are not being honest if you think that Donald Trump is the problem. This started a long time ago.

USA with a perfect noose around China

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2 thoughts on “Aggression in the South China Sea

  1. Thank you. I am constantly debating whether or not to continue my garret, because apart from you I don’t think anyone reads my blog, but for some reason it’s hard to give it up completely.

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